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| image: PM Modi & USA PM Trump |
August 30, 2025 - U.S. President Donald Trump is said to miss Quad Summit 2025 in New Delhi. In this case, it may be one of the largest relaxation of the relations of India and the U.S. in recent years and may damage the destiny of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, which ensures the ratio of power in the Indo-Pacific.
A Sudden Shift in Plans :
India earlier this year invited Trump to the Quad leaders
meeting, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi was on the verge of demonstrating the
ever-increasing influence of New Delhi. Trump first said he would go. However,
the U.S. media reports that he does not intend to visit India any more. The two
governments remain silent and this makes others speculate and leaves diplomats
talking.
This is because there is no U.S. President in the Quad table
at New Delhi, which may spread the weight of the summit. This, experts say, can
send an erroneous message to allies such as Japan and Australia, and empower
China which has long criticized the Quad as a club of containment.
Trade Wars Add Fire :
Trump has also stoked tensions with a tariff war on top of a
political strife. His government imposed 25-50 percent tax on Indian products,
with reference to oil imports in New Delhi by Russia. To India, this was viewed
as Washington encroaching on its sovereign decision making.
The tariffs jeopardise billions of exports and they have frozen ambitious trade negotiations that seeks to see bilateral trade to the 500-billion mark by 2030. The fear in India is that it will take a considerable long time before business lobbies are able to recover long-term losses were the U.S.- relationship to remain at cross-purposes.
India turns alternative Partners :
Feeling insecure in Washington, Modi has reached out to
other powers more. The fact that he has been to Russia, Japan and China
recently is an indication that he is trying to have cushions against the
pressure of the U.S. Japan re-asserted its support to the Quad model, and
Moscow and Beijing embraced tighter integration of the economies.
Other observers caution that in case Washington withdraws further, a Russia-India-China alliance would silently form, rebalancing the Asian scales.
What’s Next for the Quad?
The Quad which has been based as a democratic counter
balance in the Indo-Pacific runs on high-level political presence. The absence of
Trump would undermine its image and could turn the summit into a normal
diplomatic affair instead of a unity demonstration.
Nevertheless, analysts warn that one should not dismiss the alliance. U.S. officials are adamant that they will maintain their commitment to the Indo-Pacific strategy though Trump himself may skip Delhi.
Fallout From a Personal :
The discussed cancellation is not only a matter of time.
Pressure between Trump and Modi is increasing. In June 2018, Trump took credit
in a phone conversation that he had calmed India-Pakistan border tensions and
said that Modi should have nominated him to start a peace prize. Modi did not
accept any of the concepts and stated that no third-party position could be
acceptable.
That meeting is said to have damaged the personal
relationships between the two leaders who had initially been proclaimed as
formidable nationalist allies.
Outlook :
It is still to be determined whether this is a moment of
temporary bilateral diplomatic chill or the beginning of a more enduring drift.
However, there is one thing obvious: Trump will not visiting New Delhi would
hurt Indian strategic interests and make it a question mark about the future of
the Quad.
Hot Line :
Trump’s likely absence from Quad 2025 is more than missed
optics — it’s a stress test for Indo-US ties, a boost for China, and a reminder
that India must hedge its bets in an unpredictable world order.
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